Thursday, May 19, 2022

THE AUSTRALIAN ELECTION AND COVID FREEDOM: VACCINATION WILL MAKE YOU FREE WAS THE GOVERNMENT'S MESSAGE NOW THE VOTERS DELIVER THEIRS IN A RANKED CHOICE SYSTEM

 




"We have to take each step together, and that starts with walking in the door of that vaccine clinic and seeing that GP, that pharmacist, the state hub, and getting that vaccine.


Each step you take towards that is a step that Australia takes to where we all want to get to."



Australia's Prime Minister Scott Morrison Pushes COVID Shots-July 30, 2021-ABC NEWS AUSTRALIA STORY




This Saturday May 21st is Election Day in Australia with results pouring out Saturday morning Eastern US Time.



There are many issues to consider in the Australian election the ones the politicians and the media usually bring up like the economy including inflation and 'climate change' and so on.


The Government of Prime Minister Scott Morrison a coalition of the Liberal Party in urban areas and the National Party in the more rural localities has warned Australians about a rising threat from China in the campaign and suggest that the opposition Labor Party led by Anthony Albanese is soft on China.



There are plenty of allegations of sexual assault and rape surrounding politics in Australia nowadays and these have impacted all parties with Prime Minister Morrison's government getting the worst of it.



Some independent female candidates are on the ballot for House of Representatives seats called the 'teal independents'.   They run in urbanized areas and argue about issues like 'climate' but how independent are they?



The 'teal independents' run in seats the Liberal Party needs to win and their existence is about hurting Scott Morrison.    Behind them former Liberal Party Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull an  Australian version of Mitt Romney considering Morrison  too conservative.


They are running in wealthy areas backed by wealthy interests that seek to benefit from "climate" policy.


Australia's voting system for more than a century a system of ranked preferences like the ones being used in some parts of the United States right now most notoriously in Alaska on behalf of incumbent "moderate" US Senator Lisa Murkowski.


"Ranked Choice" forces voters to vote for the party they hate the most as their last choice in the contests for Australia's 151 House of Representatives seats.


This system forces third party voters into making major parties their last choices with all preferences sorted out in a final preference that involves almost always the two major 'mainstream' parties.



On Election Night Australian media focuses on that final preference vote shunning the minor parties only showing that final major party breakdown.


Several polls out this week show leads for Labor Party but two of them made the final preference close 51-49 for the Labor Party which has consistently led the final preference vote in polls pointing to a Labor Party victory for the House of Representatives seats.



40 of 76 members of Australia's Senate up for election as well the Senators elected in groups in each of Australia's states and territories.



Here the ranked choice preference system allows third parties a shot at getting seats.  A voter can pick up to six and if there are more than six choices they can exclude the big parties.


Third parties and or independents are consistently winning seats for Australia's Senate giving them some role in the lesser chamber of Australia's parliament in moving legislation that the governments want to pass.


And now that brings us to COVID where governments in the states imposed draconian lockdown orders and vaccine mandates for workers.


Police cracked down on public protests during the lockdowns citing 'health' as a reason for protest bans.


Claims were also made about racists and extremists being involved in the protests justifying the use of violent force involving special police units including those dedicated to dealing with terrorist incident.


The federal government in Canberra can claim it didn't directly participate in this but it can deny that in conjunction with the draconian measures of state governments it took a stand for vaccination reaching high levels before normal life could return.


Leaders like Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Deputy Prime Minister Barnaby Joyce (National Party) and Treasurer Josh Frydenberg (Liberal) all told the people "vaccination will make you free".


In the end there was a much more compliant population in Australia than in the United States but those strongly opposing coerced vaccination and mandates clearly represent a significant portion of the electorate safe to say either side of ten percent.


Polling data right now puts the share of vote not going to the Liberal-National coalition, Labor or the Greens in the 16 to 20 percent range.    It is here that the core of Medical Freedom, COVID Freedom voters are detected.



First the established third parties One Nation has been polling surprisingly well 4-6 percent if that kind of vote happens on Election Day it will be a high water mark for One Nation.



Pauline Hanson founded One Nation in the 1990's.   Hanson kicked out of the Liberal Party even as she won a House of Representatives seat in Queensland in 1997.



Hanson would have a rocky political career she even went to jail over electoral fraud her conviction overturned on appeal.


Hanson was kicked out of One Nation spending some years in the wilderness of politics before coming back in the last decade to join the party and again lead it.   Hanson won election to the Australian Senate from Queensland and she is up for re-election this year.


Hanson's opposition to COVID tyranny and her own personal decision not to vaccinate seem to have breathed new lifeblood into a party known for opposition to mass immigration and Islamization.


And then there's the United Australia Party its led by a former Liberal House member now trying to keep his seat Craig Kelly.


UAP is linked with the financial power of Queensland mineral magnate Clive Palmer who started UAP to extend his local political power in defense of the mineral industry in Australia and the threat posed by "green" advocates who talk "climate change".



UAP definitely trying to become a more populist party in this election its slogan "Make Australia Great" and the latest polling puts UAP around 3 or 4 percent.



UAP has also come out with strong criticism of COVID policies.



There are many other small parties playing roles like the Liberal Democrats a party traditionally committed to smaller government and others with some Health Freedom candidates appearing as Independents on the ballot.



We will see what Election Day brings down under but best guesstimates are that the Labor Party will win the election it's just the margin that needs to be determined.


The role of the third parties and independents in the Senate contests how well they will do is still a mystery.


That is a preview of the Australian vote this Saturday.




                                                                   






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