THE "OCTOBERFEST ELECTION" IN BAVARIA THIS SUNDAY WILL HIT ANGELA MERKEL AND HER ALLIES HARD

"He arrived in our hallowed German land.  Because he can't get a lady, he helped himself to one with a knife"

14-year old Ida Marie Muller's poem that caused a storm in Germany recently-LINK TO POST 10/2/2018

All expectations are of a sharp rebuke to Chancellor Angela Merkel and her Bavarian allies, the Christian Social Union, in the Sunday October 14th state election in the southernmost state.

The outrage over mass migration and the social consequences of it for Germany are boiling with the anti-mass immigration Alternative for Germany Party now polling as the second most popular party nationwide behind Merkel's party which is steadily losing support.   Backlash against the Social Democrats fading progressivism plus militant hostility to the AfD is also causing  an increase in support to the leftist Greens.

Getting back to Bavaria in 2014 the Christian Social Union won 47.7 percent of the popular vote and a majority in the state parliament.    Now its support is somewhere around 32 to 34 percent depending on the opinion poll.   The Greens have surged to as high as 18 percent support with the Alternative for Germany polling as high as 14 percent.   The Social Democrats are way down in support to around 10 percent (they got 20 percent in 2014).

The CSU has traditionally ruled with a majority in Bavaria and the expected collapse in its support will send shockwaves across Germany.

Bavaria has been and remains a major entry point for the migrant tide that has swept Germany in recent years driven by the Libyan and Syrian Civil Wars.   Wars that were fueled by German support and alliance with the jihadist opposition in those countries backed by Saudi Arabia and Qatar, among others.

Earlier this year the Christian Social Union's national leader, Interior Minister Horst Seehofer, made a dramatic bid to convince (or perhaps in reality to "con") Bavarians into believing that he was serious about stemming the tide.

He appeared to be threatening to leave Chancellor Merkel's government unless his "reforms" were agreed to.

Eventually a last minute understanding was reached and the "reforms" rolled out.

It was a situation that was panned as a short of show and drama by Alternative for Germany parliamentary leader Alice Weidel.

Seehofer introduced the notion of creating centers for incoming migrants and returning them to points south like Austria and Italy.    The governments there, especially Italy's under the new management of Matteo Salvini as Interior Minister, were supposedly going to take the incoming flow of migrants back.

The man who became Minister President and CSU leader in Bavaria's parliament earlier this year, Markus Soder, has tried to project his own sort of tough image with the usual  Republican-style symbolic phony issues designed to distract from the migrant crisis.

One such issue is the "Kreuzpflicht", requiring crosses to be displayed at the entrance of public buildings.   Soder deflected criticism calling them "symbols of Bavarian cultural identity" instead of religious symbols.

Speaking at the final campaign rally Friday in a beer hall the CSU leader Soder baited for support citing the extreme left-wing program of the Greens much like Republicans bait with notions of "extreme left wing Democrats" to sucker conservative voters to vote GOP in this country.

But all indications are that Soder's act is not convincing voters to stick with the CSU in the face of the upheaval caused by mass migration.

Link below.....

KATIE HOPKINS OF 'THE REBEL MEDIA' WITH AfD CANDIDATE ULI HENKEL IN MUNICH